The Richmond riding in Quebec's National Assembly faces a tightly contested October 5, 2026, general election, with projections showing a toss-up among Coalition avenir Québec candidate Guillaume Rousseau, Parti libéral du Québec nominee Hugo Fontaine, Parti québécois contender Bernard Sévigny, and Parti conservateur du Québec entrant Dominic Bouffard. The seat shifted from long-term Liberal control to CAQ in 2018 but now reflects fragmented voter preferences amid provincial trends, local priorities such as housing costs and healthcare access, and the strength of experienced candidates including a former Sherbrooke mayor and a university law professor. Recent candidate announcements and the writ drop in late August have sustained this balance, with no single party establishing a decisive edge in polling aggregates or early campaign momentum. Developments like targeted local debates, party leader visits, or shifts in provincial polling could quickly widen margins before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.