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icon for Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Світ·Канада

Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Світ·Канада

Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier 44%

Laurent Bélisle 44%

Guy Veillette 43%

Charles Paquin 26%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier 44%

Laurent Bélisle 44%

Guy Veillette 43%

Charles Paquin 26%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Élodie Murphy-Gauthier

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier

$0 Обс.

44%

icon for Laurent Bélisle

Laurent Bélisle

$0 Обс.

44%

icon for Guy Veillette

Guy Veillette

$0 Обс.

43%

icon for Charles Paquin

Charles Paquin

$0 Обс.

26%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the closely contested Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects high uncertainty between Parti Québécois candidate Élodie Murphy-Gauthier and Coalition Avenir Québec nominee Guy Veillette, with other contenders trailing significantly. The race remains tight due to the open seat after incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif's retirement, local candidate profiles including Murphy-Gauthier's health sector background and Veillette's regional media experience, and broader provincial shifts favoring stronger PQ performance in Mauricie projections. Recent writ issuance and early campaign positioning have not yet produced decisive separation, while Conservative and Liberal entries add fragmentation. Upcoming nomination deadlines, advance polls, and regional debates could alter momentum before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the closely contested Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects high uncertainty between Parti Québécois candidate Élodie Murphy-Gauthier and Coalition Avenir Québec nominee Guy Veillette, with other contenders trailing significantly. The race remains tight due to the open seat after incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif's retirement, local candidate profiles including Murphy-Gauthier's health sector background and Veillette's regional media experience, and broader provincial shifts favoring stronger PQ performance in Mauricie projections. Recent writ issuance and early campaign positioning have not yet produced decisive separation, while Conservative and Liberal entries add fragmentation. Upcoming nomination deadlines, advance polls, and regional debates could alter momentum before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Élodie Murphy-Gauthier» з 44%, далі «Laurent Bélisle» з 44%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — «Élodie Murphy-Gauthier» з 44%. Наступний — «Laurent Bélisle» з 44%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.