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Світ·Канада

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Світ·Канада

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Stéphanie Martin 44%

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 44%

Patrick Paquet 44%

Charles Hudon 25%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Stéphanie Martin 44%

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 44%

Patrick Paquet 44%

Charles Hudon 25%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Stéphanie Martin

Stéphanie Martin

$0 Обс.

44%

icon for Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

$0 Обс.

44%

icon for Patrick Paquet

Patrick Paquet

$0 Обс.

44%

icon for Charles Hudon

Charles Hudon

$0 Обс.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Recent candidate announcements have intensified competition in the open Vanier-Les Rivières seat ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Françoise Faverjon-Fortin (CAQ), Stéphanie Martin (PQ), and Patrick Paquet (PCQ) each bring established local profiles—business and governance experience, municipal political background, and journalism credentials—while Charles Hudon (PLQ) trails with lower market odds. Late-August polling aggregates from sources such as Québec 125 and 338Canada show the top three parties clustered within a few points around 25-28 percent support, reflecting the riding’s history of swings and the absence of an incumbent. This balance sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Further separation could emerge from targeted campaigning on regional priorities like homelessness and capital infrastructure, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial momentum before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Recent candidate announcements have intensified competition in the open Vanier-Les Rivières seat ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Françoise Faverjon-Fortin (CAQ), Stéphanie Martin (PQ), and Patrick Paquet (PCQ) each bring established local profiles—business and governance experience, municipal political background, and journalism credentials—while Charles Hudon (PLQ) trails with lower market odds. Late-August polling aggregates from sources such as Québec 125 and 338Canada show the top three parties clustered within a few points around 25-28 percent support, reflecting the riding’s history of swings and the absence of an incumbent. This balance sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Further separation could emerge from targeted campaigning on regional priorities like homelessness and capital infrastructure, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial momentum before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Stéphanie Martin» з 44%, далі «Françoise Faverjon-Fortin» з 44%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — «Stéphanie Martin» з 44%. Наступний — «Françoise Faverjon-Fortin» з 44%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.