**Taschereau’s race remains fluid ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election because Québec solidaire incumbent Étienne Grandmont holds a projected lead in a riding with a left-leaning urban base, yet no party commands a decisive edge amid provincial volatility and recent candidate turnover.** Projections from 338Canada and Qc125 as of late August show QS at roughly 39% in the riding, ahead of the Parti Québécois at 28% and the Conservatives (PCQ) at 14%, with Liberals and CAQ trailing. Grandmont benefits from incumbency and QS’s historical strength in central Quebec City seats, while the PCQ’s regional momentum in the Capitale-Nationale area and the PQ’s broader provincial polling gains create competitive pressure. The PQ’s Taschereau candidacy has been unsettled, with Vincent Marissal withdrawing after two days over ethics concerns tied to housing allowances, followed by Christian Savard’s selection. This late scramble, combined with the overall tight PQ-CAQ-PCQ contest in provincial surveys and the riding’s multi-party fragmentation, keeps implied probabilities closely bunched. Further candidate announcements, regional polling shifts, or campaign events focused on housing, mobility, and cost-of-living issues could widen gaps before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.