Polymarket traders price a 49.5% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, with June futures trading near $84 amid heightened volatility from Middle East tensions. A sharp 11% plunge to $83.85 on April 17 followed signals of Strait of Hormuz reopening and Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, easing near-term supply disruption fears from the Iran conflict that earlier removed up to 15 million bpd. Supporting the upside bias, EIA data for the week ended April 10 revealed a 913,000-barrel crude inventory draw versus expectations of a build, while China's steady imports bolster demand fundamentals. Ongoing Iranian naval risks and prospective OPEC+ output adjustments loom as key catalysts ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 50%
$77-$84 21%
$70-$77 12.5%
$63-$70 10.5%
$136,810 Обс.
$136,810 Обс.
<$42
2%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
10%
$70-$77
13%
$77-$84
21%
>$84
50%
>$84 50%
$77-$84 21%
$70-$77 12.5%
$63-$70 10.5%
$136,810 Обс.
$136,810 Обс.
<$42
2%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
10%
$70-$77
13%
$77-$84
21%
>$84
50%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 49.5% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, with June futures trading near $84 amid heightened volatility from Middle East tensions. A sharp 11% plunge to $83.85 on April 17 followed signals of Strait of Hormuz reopening and Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, easing near-term supply disruption fears from the Iran conflict that earlier removed up to 15 million bpd. Supporting the upside bias, EIA data for the week ended April 10 revealed a 913,000-barrel crude inventory draw versus expectations of a build, while China's steady imports bolster demand fundamentals. Ongoing Iranian naval risks and prospective OPEC+ output adjustments loom as key catalysts ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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