Recent stronger-than-expected U.S. labor data and hot April CPI prints have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold policy rates elevated near 3.50–3.75 percent, contributing to gold futures consolidating near $4,500 per ounce ahead of the June 2026 settlement. Market-implied odds reflect this dynamic, with the $4,200–$4,600 range commanding 43 percent probability as traders price limited near-term easing against persistent central bank buying and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The $4,600–$5,000 bucket follows at 29 percent, underscoring structural support from diversification flows while recent rate-hike speculation caps sharper upside. Attention now turns to the June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, which could shift real-yield expectations and near-term momentum in the GC contract.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНа що буде розраховано Gold (GC) у червні?
На що буде розраховано Gold (GC) у червні?
$4 200–$4 600 43.0%
$4,600-$5,000 29%
$3,800-$4,200 13.0%
$5,000–$5,400 6.0%
$998,360 Обс.
$998,360 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
< $3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4 200–$4 600
43%
$4,600-$5,000
29%
$5,000–$5,400
6%
$5 400–$5 800
2%
$5,800-$6,200
1%
>$6,200
1%
$4 200–$4 600 43.0%
$4,600-$5,000 29%
$3,800-$4,200 13.0%
$5,000–$5,400 6.0%
$998,360 Обс.
$998,360 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
< $3,800
$231,669 Обс.
2%
$3,800-$4,200
$59,915 Обс.
13%
$4 200–$4 600
$59,061 Обс.
43%
$4,600-$5,000
$52,940 Обс.
29%
$5,000–$5,400
$70,738 Обс.
6%
$5 400–$5 800
$64,576 Обс.
2%
$5,800-$6,200
$249,314 Обс.
1%
>$6,200
$210,248 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent stronger-than-expected U.S. labor data and hot April CPI prints have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold policy rates elevated near 3.50–3.75 percent, contributing to gold futures consolidating near $4,500 per ounce ahead of the June 2026 settlement. Market-implied odds reflect this dynamic, with the $4,200–$4,600 range commanding 43 percent probability as traders price limited near-term easing against persistent central bank buying and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The $4,600–$5,000 bucket follows at 29 percent, underscoring structural support from diversification flows while recent rate-hike speculation caps sharper upside. Attention now turns to the June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, which could shift real-yield expectations and near-term momentum in the GC contract.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$998,360Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent stronger-than-expected U.S. labor data and hot April CPI prints have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold policy rates elevated near 3.50–3.75 percent, contributing to gold futures consolidating near $4,500 per ounce ahead of the June 2026 settlement. Market-implied odds reflect this dynamic, with the $4,200–$4,600 range commanding 43 percent probability as traders price limited near-term easing against persistent central bank buying and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The $4,600–$5,000 bucket follows at 29 percent, underscoring structural support from diversification flows while recent rate-hike speculation caps sharper upside. Attention now turns to the June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, which could shift real-yield expectations and near-term momentum in the GC contract.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Обсяг
$998,360Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent stronger-than-expected U.S. labor data and hot April CPI prints have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold policy rates elevated near 3.50–3.75 percent, contributing to gold futures consolidating near $4,500 per ounce ahead of the June 2026 settlement. Market-implied odds reflect this dynamic, with the $4,200–$4,600 range commanding 43 percent probability as traders price limited near-term easing against persistent central bank buying and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The $4,600–$5,000 bucket follows at 29 percent, underscoring structural support from diversification flows while recent rate-hike speculation caps sharper upside. Attention now turns to the June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases, which could shift real-yield expectations and near-term momentum in the GC contract.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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