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Євробачення 2026: перший півфінал

Market icon

Євробачення 2026: перший півфінал

$475,039 Обс.

May 12, 2026
Polymarket

$475,039 Обс.

Polymarket
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Finland

$334,215 Обс.

98%

Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Sweden

$3,137 Обс.

98%

Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Greece

$5,034 Обс.

97%

Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Israel

$19,737 Обс.

92%

Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Moldova

$18,870 Обс.

89%

Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Serbia

$6,334 Обс.

80%

Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Croatia

$7,990 Обс.

77%

Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Lithuania

$3,176 Обс.

66%

Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Montenegro

$6,185 Обс.

64%

Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Poland

$8,959 Обс.

48%

Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Portugal

$34,669 Обс.

40%

Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Estonia

$6,915 Обс.

36%

Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Georgia

$2,185 Обс.

35%

Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Belgium

$10,035 Обс.

31%

Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

San Marino

$7,598 Обс.

19%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The April 2 reveal of the first semi-final running order for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has intensified trader scrutiny on qualification dynamics, positioning Moldova's opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, Sweden's early powerhouse "My System" by FELICIA, and Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas as frontrunners in betting consensus. With all 15 entrants—from Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen to Israel's strong contender—now set for May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, markets reflect high implied probabilities (often 85-98%) for Nordic and Balkan acts based on national selection buzz, preview clips, and historical televote strength from diaspora blocs. First rehearsals kick off late April, potentially swaying staging narratives and jury sentiment before the top 10 advance amid live performance risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$475,039
Дата завершення
May 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The April 2 reveal of the first semi-final running order for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has intensified trader scrutiny on qualification dynamics, positioning Moldova's opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, Sweden's early powerhouse "My System" by FELICIA, and Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas as frontrunners in betting consensus. With all 15 entrants—from Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen to Israel's strong contender—now set for May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, markets reflect high implied probabilities (often 85-98%) for Nordic and Balkan acts based on national selection buzz, preview clips, and historical televote strength from diaspora blocs. First rehearsals kick off late April, potentially swaying staging narratives and jury sentiment before the top 10 advance amid live performance risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$475,039
Дата завершення
May 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Євробачення 2026: перший півфінал» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 15 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Finland» з 98%, далі «Sweden» з 98%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Євробачення 2026: перший півфінал» згенерував $475K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 16, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Євробачення 2026: перший півфінал», перегляньте 15 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Євробачення 2026: перший півфінал» — «Finland» з 98%. Наступний — «Sweden» з 98%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Євробачення 2026: перший півфінал» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.