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Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

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Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

$234,258 Обс.

May 14, 2026
Polymarket

$234,258 Обс.

Polymarket
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Ukraine

$1,657 Обс.

95%

Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Australia

$11,855 Обс.

94%

Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Denmark

$714 Обс.

93%

Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Romania

$6,980 Обс.

83%

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Bulgaria

$6,005 Обс.

83%

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Cyprus

$17,121 Обс.

80%

Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Malta

$15,702 Обс.

76%

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Czechia

$35,058 Обс.

71%

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Norway

$4,888 Обс.

69%

Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Albania

$18,780 Обс.

65%

Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Latvia

$1,236 Обс.

54%

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Switzerland

$74,454 Обс.

44%

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Luxembourg

$22,175 Обс.

37%

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Armenia

$11,887 Обс.

35%

Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Azerbaijan

$5,747 Обс.

10%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus favors Australia with Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse," Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "*Før vi går hjem*," and Ukraine's Leléka's "Ridnym" as top qualifiers from the Second Semi-Final on May 14 in Vienna, with implied probabilities above 90% on platforms like Polymarket reflecting strong song quality, diaspora voting blocs, and favorable running order positions revealed April 2. Switzerland's Veronica Fusaro and Cyprus' Antigoni trail closely amid competitive entries like Albania's Alis and Norway's Jonas Lovv, buoyed by recent national final momentum and historical semi success. Rehearsals kick off May 1, poised to swing odds via stage execution, while EBU voting reforms and boycotts by Spain, Ireland, and others curb televote inflation, heightening jury influence for the top 10 spots.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$234,258
Дата завершення
May 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus favors Australia with Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse," Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "*Før vi går hjem*," and Ukraine's Leléka's "Ridnym" as top qualifiers from the Second Semi-Final on May 14 in Vienna, with implied probabilities above 90% on platforms like Polymarket reflecting strong song quality, diaspora voting blocs, and favorable running order positions revealed April 2. Switzerland's Veronica Fusaro and Cyprus' Antigoni trail closely amid competitive entries like Albania's Alis and Norway's Jonas Lovv, buoyed by recent national final momentum and historical semi success. Rehearsals kick off May 1, poised to swing odds via stage execution, while EBU voting reforms and boycotts by Spain, Ireland, and others curb televote inflation, heightening jury influence for the top 10 spots.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$234,258
Дата завершення
May 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 15 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ukraine» з 95%, далі «Australia» з 94%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final» згенерував $234.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 16, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final», перегляньте 15 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final» — «Ukraine» з 95%. Наступний — «Australia» з 94%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.