Rockstar Games' official announcement on November 6, 2025, solidified Grand Theft Auto VI's release for November 19, 2026—well after June—following a second delay from the prior May 26 target to allow additional polish, aligning with the studio's history of prioritizing quality as seen in Red Dead Redemption 2's extended development. This firm date, reaffirmed on Rockstar's site amid ongoing countdowns and no countervailing leaks or updates in recent weeks, drives the 98.5% market-implied probability for "No," reflecting trader consensus backed by substantial capital on the unlikelihood of acceleration. Realistic upsets remain slim, such as an unprecedented early digital drop or surprise advancement, but Rockstar's track record and seven months to launch make them improbable without major breaking news.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGTA VI випущена до червня 2026 року?
GTA VI випущена до червня 2026 року?
Так
$13,622,460 Обс.
$13,622,460 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Так
$13,622,460 Обс.
$13,622,460 Обс.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games' official announcement on November 6, 2025, solidified Grand Theft Auto VI's release for November 19, 2026—well after June—following a second delay from the prior May 26 target to allow additional polish, aligning with the studio's history of prioritizing quality as seen in Red Dead Redemption 2's extended development. This firm date, reaffirmed on Rockstar's site amid ongoing countdowns and no countervailing leaks or updates in recent weeks, drives the 98.5% market-implied probability for "No," reflecting trader consensus backed by substantial capital on the unlikelihood of acceleration. Realistic upsets remain slim, such as an unprecedented early digital drop or surprise advancement, but Rockstar's track record and seven months to launch make them improbable without major breaking news.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,622,460Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games' official announcement on November 6, 2025, solidified Grand Theft Auto VI's release for November 19, 2026—well after June—following a second delay from the prior May 26 target to allow additional polish, aligning with the studio's history of prioritizing quality as seen in Red Dead Redemption 2's extended development. This firm date, reaffirmed on Rockstar's site amid ongoing countdowns and no countervailing leaks or updates in recent weeks, drives the 98.5% market-implied probability for "No," reflecting trader consensus backed by substantial capital on the unlikelihood of acceleration. Realistic upsets remain slim, such as an unprecedented early digital drop or surprise advancement, but Rockstar's track record and seven months to launch make them improbable without major breaking news.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Обсяг
$13,622,460Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Rockstar Games' official announcement on November 6, 2025, solidified Grand Theft Auto VI's release for November 19, 2026—well after June—following a second delay from the prior May 26 target to allow additional polish, aligning with the studio's history of prioritizing quality as seen in Red Dead Redemption 2's extended development. This firm date, reaffirmed on Rockstar's site amid ongoing countdowns and no countervailing leaks or updates in recent weeks, drives the 98.5% market-implied probability for "No," reflecting trader consensus backed by substantial capital on the unlikelihood of acceleration. Realistic upsets remain slim, such as an unprecedented early digital drop or surprise advancement, but Rockstar's track record and seven months to launch make them improbable without major breaking news.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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