Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 7?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 7?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,141 Обс.
$64,141 Обс.
Jul 7, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,141 Обс.
$64,141 Обс.
Jul 7, 2026
18°C or below
$876 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,503 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,950 Обс.
No
21°C
$5,119 Обс.
No
22°C
$11,628 Обс.
No
23°C
$11,651 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$8,543 Обс.
No
25°C
$7,627 Обс.
No
26°C
$5,643 Обс.
No
27°C
$4,577 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$3,023 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$64,141Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$64,141Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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