Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 32–34 °C for Ankara on August 3, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (44.5 %) and 32 °C (28 %). Ankara’s continental climate produces large diurnal ranges under summer high pressure, with climatological early-August highs near 31–32 °C. Current dry, stable conditions and modest ridging support readings at or slightly above average, while limited model spread and absence of strong advection keep probabilities for 35 °C or higher below 5 %. Refined short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will further constrain the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 3?
33°C 45%
32°C 29%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
29%
33°C
45%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 29%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
28°C or below
$48 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$188 Обс.
1%
30°C
$56 Обс.
2%
31°C
$35 Обс.
8%
32°C
$1,848 Обс.
29%
33°C
$198 Обс.
45%
34°C
$355 Обс.
18%
35°C
$57 Обс.
5%
36°C
$127 Обс.
2%
37°C
$20 Обс.
2%
38°C or higher
$119 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 32–34 °C for Ankara on August 3, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (44.5 %) and 32 °C (28 %). Ankara’s continental climate produces large diurnal ranges under summer high pressure, with climatological early-August highs near 31–32 °C. Current dry, stable conditions and modest ridging support readings at or slightly above average, while limited model spread and absence of strong advection keep probabilities for 35 °C or higher below 5 %. Refined short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will further constrain the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,050Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 32–34 °C for Ankara on August 3, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (44.5 %) and 32 °C (28 %). Ankara’s continental climate produces large diurnal ranges under summer high pressure, with climatological early-August highs near 31–32 °C. Current dry, stable conditions and modest ridging support readings at or slightly above average, while limited model spread and absence of strong advection keep probabilities for 35 °C or higher below 5 %. Refined short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will further constrain the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,050Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 32–34 °C for Ankara on August 3, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (44.5 %) and 32 °C (28 %). Ankara’s continental climate produces large diurnal ranges under summer high pressure, with climatological early-August highs near 31–32 °C. Current dry, stable conditions and modest ridging support readings at or slightly above average, while limited model spread and absence of strong advection keep probabilities for 35 °C or higher below 5 %. Refined short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will further constrain the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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