Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 Обс.
$80,151 Обс.
May 1, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 Обс.
$80,151 Обс.
May 1, 2026
11°C or below
$1,183 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,025 Обс.
No
13°C
$1,900 Обс.
No
14°C
$17,578 Обс.
No
15°C
$19,851 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$9,532 Обс.
No
17°C
$7,701 Обс.
No
18°C
$6,986 Обс.
No
19°C
$5,726 Обс.
No
20°C
$3,700 Обс.
No
21°C or higher
$4,969 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$80,151Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$80,151Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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