Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 Обс.
$73,001 Обс.
May 6, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 Обс.
$73,001 Обс.
May 6, 2026
7°C or below
$548 Обс.
No
8°C
$384 Обс.
No
9°C
$402 Обс.
No
10°C
$754 Обс.
No
11°C
$3,416 Обс.
No
12°C
$5,347 Обс.
No
13°C
$13,111 Обс.
No
14°C
$8,764 Обс.
No
15°C
$9,618 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$14,585 Обс.
No
17°C or higher
$16,072 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
Обсяг
$73,001Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$73,001Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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