Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 16?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,974 Обс.
$59,974 Обс.
Jul 16, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,974 Обс.
$59,974 Обс.
Jul 16, 2026
16°C or below
$220 Обс.
No
17°C
$2,741 Обс.
No
18°C
$3,842 Обс.
No
19°C
$7,168 Обс.
No
20°C
$7,876 Обс.
No
21°C
$6,125 Обс.
No
22°C
$7,408 Обс.
No
23°C
$6,367 Обс.
No
24°C
$7,336 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$7,123 Обс.
No
26°C or higher
$3,768 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$59,974Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$59,974Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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