**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 12?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 12?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,461 Обс.
$33,461 Обс.
May 12, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,461 Обс.
$33,461 Обс.
May 12, 2026
12°C or below
$1,435 Обс.
No
13°C
$1,515 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,014 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,312 Обс.
No
16°C
$8,191 Обс.
No
17°C
$4,164 Обс.
No
18°C
$4,936 Обс.
Yes
19°C
$3,493 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,771 Обс.
No
21°C
$2,395 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$1,235 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,461Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$33,461Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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