Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 22°C high in Chengdu on April 30, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations at Shuangliu International Airport showing midday peaks near 21°C amid persistent overcast skies, 99% cloud cover, and north-northeasterly winds that curb solar insolation and convective heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts align with a maximum of 22–23°C under this cooler synoptic pattern, diverging from April's typical 23–24°C average due to incoming light rain suppressing further warming. Final CMA data after midnight will confirm resolution; a sudden cloud break enabling brief insolation spikes could realistically push to 23°C, though model uncertainty ranges deem this low-probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 30?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,338 Обс.
$64,338 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,338 Обс.
$64,338 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
18°C or below
$2,314 Обс.
No
19°C
$3,038 Обс.
No
20°C
$5,257 Обс.
No
21°C
$7,245 Обс.
No
22°C
$12,278 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$7,854 Обс.
No
24°C
$5,815 Обс.
No
25°C
$5,971 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,914 Обс.
No
27°C
$4,420 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$5,232 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 22°C high in Chengdu on April 30, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations at Shuangliu International Airport showing midday peaks near 21°C amid persistent overcast skies, 99% cloud cover, and north-northeasterly winds that curb solar insolation and convective heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts align with a maximum of 22–23°C under this cooler synoptic pattern, diverging from April's typical 23–24°C average due to incoming light rain suppressing further warming. Final CMA data after midnight will confirm resolution; a sudden cloud break enabling brief insolation spikes could realistically push to 23°C, though model uncertainty ranges deem this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$64,338Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 22°C high in Chengdu on April 30, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations at Shuangliu International Airport showing midday peaks near 21°C amid persistent overcast skies, 99% cloud cover, and north-northeasterly winds that curb solar insolation and convective heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts align with a maximum of 22–23°C under this cooler synoptic pattern, diverging from April's typical 23–24°C average due to incoming light rain suppressing further warming. Final CMA data after midnight will confirm resolution; a sudden cloud break enabling brief insolation spikes could realistically push to 23°C, though model uncertainty ranges deem this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$64,338Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 22°C high in Chengdu on April 30, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations at Shuangliu International Airport showing midday peaks near 21°C amid persistent overcast skies, 99% cloud cover, and north-northeasterly winds that curb solar insolation and convective heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts align with a maximum of 22–23°C under this cooler synoptic pattern, diverging from April's typical 23–24°C average due to incoming light rain suppressing further warming. Final CMA data after midnight will confirm resolution; a sudden cloud break enabling brief insolation spikes could realistically push to 23°C, though model uncertainty ranges deem this low-probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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