Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 26?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$78,542 Обс.
$78,542 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$78,542 Обс.
$78,542 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
24°C or below
$5,211 Обс.
No
25°C
$4,326 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,788 Обс.
No
27°C
$7,115 Обс.
No
28°C
$7,781 Обс.
No
29°C
$6,492 Обс.
No
30°C
$11,278 Обс.
No
31°C
$10,791 Обс.
Yes
32°C
$5,871 Обс.
No
33°C
$7,904 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$6,986 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$78,542Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$78,542Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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