Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on April 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 28?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$193,235 Обс.
$193,235 Обс.
Apr 28, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$193,235 Обс.
$193,235 Обс.
Apr 28, 2026
73°F or below
$13,229 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$10,658 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$8,852 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$8,329 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$8,230 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$17,151 Обс.
Yes
84-85°F
$18,774 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$15,294 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$39,350 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$21,850 Обс.
No
92°F or higher
$31,518 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 26, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$193,235Дата завершення
Apr 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 26, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$193,235Дата завершення
Apr 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 26, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at 82-83°F, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that bin amid a severe weather outbreak featuring large hail, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of upper 80s to 90s°F. Model consensus from NOAA's guidance had anticipated stronger southerly winds and partial sun, but a cold front and convective activity capped solar insolation and limited boundary layer warming, aligning with historical April analogs where storm interference yields highs 5-10°F below climatological norms of 79°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or station metadata adjustments, though NWS final reports rarely shift beyond 1°F.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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