Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on July 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 5?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$41,007 Обс.
$41,007 Обс.
Jul 5, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$41,007 Обс.
$41,007 Обс.
Jul 5, 2026
83°F or below
$1,823 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$3,414 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$3,844 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$4,101 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$3,934 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$7,048 Обс.
No
94-95°F
$7,586 Обс.
Yes
96-97°F
$3,291 Обс.
No
98-99°F
$2,082 Обс.
No
100-101°F
$1,564 Обс.
No
102°F or higher
$2,319 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$41,007Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$41,007Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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