Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting confirmed observational data from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports via NOAA, which peaked at 16°C amid clear skies and strengthening northerly winds that capped daytime heating. This aligns with April climatological averages of 15.3°C highs for the region, influenced by cool Black Sea air masses and typical spring variability under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns—though not hurricanes, similar steering currents apply. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) or discrepancies across urban heat island stations, but model consensus and real-time airport telemetry solidify the outcome as markets near resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 27?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 27?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$77,990 Обс.
$77,990 Обс.
Apr 27, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$77,990 Обс.
$77,990 Обс.
Apr 27, 2026
9°C or below
$830 Обс.
No
10°C
$3,327 Обс.
No
11°C
$1,661 Обс.
No
12°C
$3,083 Обс.
No
13°C
$4,524 Обс.
No
14°C
$9,214 Обс.
No
15°C
$19,244 Обс.
No
16°C
$18,852 Обс.
Yes
17°C
$8,340 Обс.
No
18°C
$4,168 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$4,747 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting confirmed observational data from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports via NOAA, which peaked at 16°C amid clear skies and strengthening northerly winds that capped daytime heating. This aligns with April climatological averages of 15.3°C highs for the region, influenced by cool Black Sea air masses and typical spring variability under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns—though not hurricanes, similar steering currents apply. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) or discrepancies across urban heat island stations, but model consensus and real-time airport telemetry solidify the outcome as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 25, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$77,990Дата завершення
Apr 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 25, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting confirmed observational data from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports via NOAA, which peaked at 16°C amid clear skies and strengthening northerly winds that capped daytime heating. This aligns with April climatological averages of 15.3°C highs for the region, influenced by cool Black Sea air masses and typical spring variability under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns—though not hurricanes, similar steering currents apply. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) or discrepancies across urban heat island stations, but model consensus and real-time airport telemetry solidify the outcome as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$77,990Дата завершення
Apr 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 25, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting confirmed observational data from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports via NOAA, which peaked at 16°C amid clear skies and strengthening northerly winds that capped daytime heating. This aligns with April climatological averages of 15.3°C highs for the region, influenced by cool Black Sea air masses and typical spring variability under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns—though not hurricanes, similar steering currents apply. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) or discrepancies across urban heat island stations, but model consensus and real-time airport telemetry solidify the outcome as markets near resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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