Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul near 27–28°C on June 25, with limited cloud cover and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak trough could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology places average highs near 26–27°C, providing context for why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on outcomes between 26°C and 28°C rather than extremes. Updated 48-hour forecasts and local observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 25?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 25?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,350 Обс.
$77,350 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,350 Обс.
$77,350 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
22°C or below
$466 Обс.
No
23°C
$947 Обс.
No
24°C
$2,646 Обс.
No
25°C
$4,319 Обс.
No
26°C
$9,330 Обс.
No
27°C
$36,976 Обс.
Yes
28°C
$7,628 Обс.
No
29°C
$6,260 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,789 Обс.
No
31°C
$2,403 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$2,587 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul near 27–28°C on June 25, with limited cloud cover and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak trough could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology places average highs near 26–27°C, providing context for why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on outcomes between 26°C and 28°C rather than extremes. Updated 48-hour forecasts and local observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$77,350Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 1:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul near 27–28°C on June 25, with limited cloud cover and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak trough could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology places average highs near 26–27°C, providing context for why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on outcomes between 26°C and 28°C rather than extremes. Updated 48-hour forecasts and local observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$77,350Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 1:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul near 27–28°C on June 25, with limited cloud cover and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak trough could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology places average highs near 26–27°C, providing context for why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on outcomes between 26°C and 28°C rather than extremes. Updated 48-hour forecasts and local observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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