**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh. Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on July 1?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 1?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,989 Обс.
$123,989 Обс.
Jul 1, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,989 Обс.
$123,989 Обс.
Jul 1, 2026
28°C or below
$11,381 Обс.
No
29°C
$22,156 Обс.
No
30°C
$2,793 Обс.
No
31°C
$31,306 Обс.
No
32°C
$25,150 Обс.
No
33°C
$9,620 Обс.
Yes
34°C
$7,433 Обс.
No
35°C
$6,880 Обс.
No
36°C
$3,766 Обс.
No
37°C
$1,935 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$1,568 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh.
Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$123,989Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh.
Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$123,989Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh. Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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