Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 Обс.
$177,304 Обс.
Apr 20, 2026
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 Обс.
$177,304 Обс.
Apr 20, 2026
28°C or below
$68,649 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$12,734 Обс.
No
30°C
$9,869 Обс.
No
31°C
$9,912 Обс.
No
32°C
$13,344 Обс.
No
33°C
$15,262 Обс.
No
34°C
$12,964 Обс.
No
35°C
$10,705 Обс.
No
36°C
$9,086 Обс.
No
37°C
$6,393 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$8,387 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Обсяг
$177,304Дата завершення
Apr 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$177,304Дата завершення
Apr 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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