Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 Обс.
$46,008 Обс.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 Обс.
$46,008 Обс.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
$7,638 Обс.
No
28°C
$14,115 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,559 Обс.
No
30°C
$1,407 Обс.
No
31°C
$2,372 Обс.
No
32°C
$3,467 Обс.
No
33°C
$1,841 Обс.
No
34°C
$4,106 Обс.
Yes
35°C
$2,579 Обс.
No
36°C
$2,608 Обс.
No
37°C or higher
$3,317 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$46,008Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$46,008Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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