Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on April 27?
Highest temperature in London on April 27?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$294,925 Обс.
$294,925 Обс.
Apr 27, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$294,925 Обс.
$294,925 Обс.
Apr 27, 2026
15°C or below
$9,558 Обс.
No
16°C
$9,638 Обс.
No
17°C
$7,438 Обс.
No
18°C
$38,502 Обс.
No
19°C
$32,669 Обс.
No
20°C
$93,388 Обс.
No
21°C
$36,299 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$31,587 Обс.
No
23°C
$17,159 Обс.
No
24°C
$8,415 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$10,272 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 25, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$294,925Дата завершення
Apr 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 25, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$294,925Дата завершення
Apr 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 25, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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