Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 19°C in London on April 30, driven by the Met Office's official daily records confirming this maximum at key monitoring stations like Heathrow Airport, under mild spring conditions with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Synoptic charts showed a weak high-pressure ridge over the UK, suppressing temperatures below 20°C amid light winds and average humidity, consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely exceed 20°C absent heatwaves. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data audit revealing measurement errors at secondary sites or unverified outlier readings, though such revisions are exceedingly rare in verified meteorological datasets; final resolution awaits any late updates from the Met Office.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on April 30?
Highest temperature in London on April 30?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$446,559 Обс.
$446,559 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$446,559 Обс.
$446,559 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
12°C or below
$9,102 Обс.
No
13°C
$17,366 Обс.
No
14°C
$7,268 Обс.
No
15°C
$16,540 Обс.
No
16°C
$20,544 Обс.
No
17°C
$109,801 Обс.
No
18°C
$123,119 Обс.
No
19°C
$47,644 Обс.
Yes
20°C
$38,621 Обс.
No
21°C
$30,867 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$25,687 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 19°C in London on April 30, driven by the Met Office's official daily records confirming this maximum at key monitoring stations like Heathrow Airport, under mild spring conditions with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Synoptic charts showed a weak high-pressure ridge over the UK, suppressing temperatures below 20°C amid light winds and average humidity, consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely exceed 20°C absent heatwaves. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data audit revealing measurement errors at secondary sites or unverified outlier readings, though such revisions are exceedingly rare in verified meteorological datasets; final resolution awaits any late updates from the Met Office.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$446,559Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 2:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 19°C in London on April 30, driven by the Met Office's official daily records confirming this maximum at key monitoring stations like Heathrow Airport, under mild spring conditions with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Synoptic charts showed a weak high-pressure ridge over the UK, suppressing temperatures below 20°C amid light winds and average humidity, consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely exceed 20°C absent heatwaves. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data audit revealing measurement errors at secondary sites or unverified outlier readings, though such revisions are exceedingly rare in verified meteorological datasets; final resolution awaits any late updates from the Met Office.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$446,559Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 2:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 19°C in London on April 30, driven by the Met Office's official daily records confirming this maximum at key monitoring stations like Heathrow Airport, under mild spring conditions with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Synoptic charts showed a weak high-pressure ridge over the UK, suppressing temperatures below 20°C amid light winds and average humidity, consistent with April climatology where daily highs rarely exceed 20°C absent heatwaves. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data audit revealing measurement errors at secondary sites or unverified outlier readings, though such revisions are exceedingly rare in verified meteorological datasets; final resolution awaits any late updates from the Met Office.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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