Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a broad high-pressure ridge over southern England through July 23, supporting daytime maxima centered in the mid-20s Celsius for London. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The urban heat-island effect adds further variability, with central stations often recording 1–3°C above rural sites under clear, light-wind conditions. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on July 23?
Highest temperature in London on July 23?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$283,249 Обс.
$283,249 Обс.
Jul 23, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$283,249 Обс.
$283,249 Обс.
Jul 23, 2026
21°C or below
$13,013 Обс.
No
22°C
$13,554 Обс.
No
23°C
$19,556 Обс.
No
24°C
$26,977 Обс.
No
25°C
$54,593 Обс.
No
26°C
$44,179 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$44,089 Обс.
No
28°C
$36,841 Обс.
No
29°C
$20,485 Обс.
No
30°C
$5,719 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$4,242 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a broad high-pressure ridge over southern England through July 23, supporting daytime maxima centered in the mid-20s Celsius for London. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The urban heat-island effect adds further variability, with central stations often recording 1–3°C above rural sites under clear, light-wind conditions. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$283,249Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a broad high-pressure ridge over southern England through July 23, supporting daytime maxima centered in the mid-20s Celsius for London. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The urban heat-island effect adds further variability, with central stations often recording 1–3°C above rural sites under clear, light-wind conditions. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$283,249Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a broad high-pressure ridge over southern England through July 23, supporting daytime maxima centered in the mid-20s Celsius for London. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The urban heat-island effect adds further variability, with central stations often recording 1–3°C above rural sites under clear, light-wind conditions. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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