Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$60,573 Обс.
$60,573 Обс.
May 10, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$60,573 Обс.
$60,573 Обс.
May 10, 2026
53°F or below
$4,227 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$1,195 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$756 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$1,711 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$4,226 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$3,003 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$5,035 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$5,829 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$17,492 Обс.
Yes
70-71°F
$8,296 Обс.
No
72°F or higher
$8,802 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$60,573Дата завершення
May 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$60,573Дата завершення
May 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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