India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
41°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
40°C <1%
42°C <1%
$53,511 Обс.
$53,511 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
39°C or below
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
40°C <1%
42°C <1%
$53,511 Обс.
$53,511 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
39°C or below
$8,309 Обс.
No
40°C
$8,292 Обс.
No
41°C
$10,136 Обс.
Yes
42°C
$8,365 Обс.
No
43°C
$6,037 Обс.
No
44°C
$2,978 Обс.
No
45°C
$2,210 Обс.
No
46°C
$1,746 Обс.
No
47°C
$2,240 Обс.
No
48°C
$1,282 Обс.
No
49°C or higher
$1,916 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$53,511Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$53,511Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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