Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$115,158 Обс.
$115,158 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$115,158 Обс.
$115,158 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
$7,529 Обс.
No
23°C
$3,067 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,101 Обс.
No
25°C
$7,473 Обс.
No
26°C
$31,077 Обс.
No
27°C
$17,237 Обс.
No
28°C
$20,634 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$12,599 Обс.
No
30°C
$5,310 Обс.
No
31°C
$3,513 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$3,618 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Обсяг
$115,158Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$115,158Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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