PAGASA's official forecast issued at 5:00 AM on April 16 caps Metro Manila's high temperature at 35°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by localized thunderstorms, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. Observational data from the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary measurement site—recorded a midday peak of 34.3°C with minimum relative humidity of 41%, supporting limited further intensification amid light southeast winds and a ridge of high pressure. April's dry season climatology typically sees highs around 34°C, moderated here by cloud cover preventing extremes above 35°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for prolonged solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing a late-afternoon reading to 36°C, though thunderstorm activity reduces this risk; final daily maximum from PAGASA observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on April 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$23,795 Обс.
$23,795 Обс.
Apr 16, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$23,795 Обс.
$23,795 Обс.
Apr 16, 2026
29°C or below
$3,782 Обс.
No
30°C
$2,488 Обс.
No
31°C
$1,460 Обс.
No
32°C
$1,196 Обс.
No
33°C
$1,042 Обс.
No
34°C
$1,751 Обс.
No
35°C
$4,311 Обс.
Yes
36°C
$2,123 Обс.
No
37°C
$2,030 Обс.
No
38°C
$1,963 Обс.
No
39°C or higher
$1,647 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official forecast issued at 5:00 AM on April 16 caps Metro Manila's high temperature at 35°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by localized thunderstorms, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. Observational data from the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary measurement site—recorded a midday peak of 34.3°C with minimum relative humidity of 41%, supporting limited further intensification amid light southeast winds and a ridge of high pressure. April's dry season climatology typically sees highs around 34°C, moderated here by cloud cover preventing extremes above 35°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for prolonged solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing a late-afternoon reading to 36°C, though thunderstorm activity reduces this risk; final daily maximum from PAGASA observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,795Дата завершення
Apr 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official forecast issued at 5:00 AM on April 16 caps Metro Manila's high temperature at 35°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by localized thunderstorms, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. Observational data from the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary measurement site—recorded a midday peak of 34.3°C with minimum relative humidity of 41%, supporting limited further intensification amid light southeast winds and a ridge of high pressure. April's dry season climatology typically sees highs around 34°C, moderated here by cloud cover preventing extremes above 35°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for prolonged solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing a late-afternoon reading to 36°C, though thunderstorm activity reduces this risk; final daily maximum from PAGASA observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$23,795Дата завершення
Apr 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
PAGASA's official forecast issued at 5:00 AM on April 16 caps Metro Manila's high temperature at 35°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by localized thunderstorms, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. Observational data from the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary measurement site—recorded a midday peak of 34.3°C with minimum relative humidity of 41%, supporting limited further intensification amid light southeast winds and a ridge of high pressure. April's dry season climatology typically sees highs around 34°C, moderated here by cloud cover preventing extremes above 35°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for prolonged solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing a late-afternoon reading to 36°C, though thunderstorm activity reduces this risk; final daily maximum from PAGASA observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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