PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on April 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 21?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,971 Обс.
$45,971 Обс.
Apr 21, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,971 Обс.
$45,971 Обс.
Apr 21, 2026
28°C or below
$1,096 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,846 Обс.
No
30°C
$1,765 Обс.
No
31°C
$2,268 Обс.
No
32°C
$3,594 Обс.
No
33°C
$4,365 Обс.
No
34°C
$11,396 Обс.
Yes
35°C
$7,375 Обс.
No
36°C
$8,156 Обс.
No
37°C
$2,225 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$1,884 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,971Дата завершення
Apr 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$45,971Дата завершення
Apr 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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