**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on July 9?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 9?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$42,529 Обс.
$42,529 Обс.
Jul 9, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$42,529 Обс.
$42,529 Обс.
Jul 9, 2026
26°C or below
$1,782 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,570 Обс.
No
28°C
$2,080 Обс.
No
29°C
$4,361 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,483 Обс.
No
31°C
$6,319 Обс.
No
32°C
$9,537 Обс.
No
33°C
$5,011 Обс.
Yes
34°C
$4,214 Обс.
No
35°C
$2,488 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$1,685 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,529Дата завершення
Jul 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42,529Дата завершення
Jul 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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