Manila's urban heat island effect and typical June climatology, with average highs near 32°C under the southwest monsoon influence, support the market's near-certain positioning at 36°C. Official PAGASA monitoring and real-time station data have confirmed peak readings at or above this threshold amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit overnight cooling. Historical records show occasional spikes to 35–36°C during similar easterly flow patterns, aligning with current conditions. The 100% implied probability reflects trader confidence in verified observations rather than models. Only an anomalous revision to official station reports or a shift in measurement criteria could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on June 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$32,160 Обс.
$32,160 Обс.
Jun 16, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$32,160 Обс.
$32,160 Обс.
Jun 16, 2026
28°C or below
$2,162 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,351 Обс.
No
30°C
$911 Обс.
No
31°C
$1,630 Обс.
No
32°C
$3,368 Обс.
No
33°C
$4,161 Обс.
No
34°C
$3,862 Обс.
No
35°C
$5,311 Обс.
No
36°C
$4,157 Обс.
Yes
37°C
$1,868 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$2,380 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Manila's urban heat island effect and typical June climatology, with average highs near 32°C under the southwest monsoon influence, support the market's near-certain positioning at 36°C. Official PAGASA monitoring and real-time station data have confirmed peak readings at or above this threshold amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit overnight cooling. Historical records show occasional spikes to 35–36°C during similar easterly flow patterns, aligning with current conditions. The 100% implied probability reflects trader confidence in verified observations rather than models. Only an anomalous revision to official station reports or a shift in measurement criteria could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,160Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Manila's urban heat island effect and typical June climatology, with average highs near 32°C under the southwest monsoon influence, support the market's near-certain positioning at 36°C. Official PAGASA monitoring and real-time station data have confirmed peak readings at or above this threshold amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit overnight cooling. Historical records show occasional spikes to 35–36°C during similar easterly flow patterns, aligning with current conditions. The 100% implied probability reflects trader confidence in verified observations rather than models. Only an anomalous revision to official station reports or a shift in measurement criteria could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$32,160Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Manila's urban heat island effect and typical June climatology, with average highs near 32°C under the southwest monsoon influence, support the market's near-certain positioning at 36°C. Official PAGASA monitoring and real-time station data have confirmed peak readings at or above this threshold amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit overnight cooling. Historical records show occasional spikes to 35–36°C during similar easterly flow patterns, aligning with current conditions. The 100% implied probability reflects trader confidence in verified observations rather than models. Only an anomalous revision to official station reports or a shift in measurement criteria could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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