Recent PAGASA outlooks and global model runs for Manila on June 22 highlight increasing southwest monsoon influence, with 60-80% rain chances and highs projected at 32-33°C, driving the tight market clustering around these levels. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods that could push peaks toward 34°C, while typical June climatology centers near 32°C with lows around 26°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns and convective timing creates the narrow spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring sustained breaks in rainfall unlikely under current guidance. Updated agency briefings and refined model ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on June 22?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 22?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,803 Обс.
$33,803 Обс.
Jun 22, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,803 Обс.
$33,803 Обс.
Jun 22, 2026
28°C or below
$165 Обс.
No
29°C
$260 Обс.
No
30°C
$1,511 Обс.
No
31°C
$3,867 Обс.
No
32°C
$8,932 Обс.
No
33°C
$5,271 Обс.
Yes
34°C
$2,712 Обс.
No
35°C
$2,692 Обс.
No
36°C
$3,472 Обс.
No
37°C
$4,369 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$552 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and global model runs for Manila on June 22 highlight increasing southwest monsoon influence, with 60-80% rain chances and highs projected at 32-33°C, driving the tight market clustering around these levels. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods that could push peaks toward 34°C, while typical June climatology centers near 32°C with lows around 26°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns and convective timing creates the narrow spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring sustained breaks in rainfall unlikely under current guidance. Updated agency briefings and refined model ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 20, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,803Дата завершення
Jun 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 20, 2026, 12:24 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and global model runs for Manila on June 22 highlight increasing southwest monsoon influence, with 60-80% rain chances and highs projected at 32-33°C, driving the tight market clustering around these levels. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods that could push peaks toward 34°C, while typical June climatology centers near 32°C with lows around 26°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns and convective timing creates the narrow spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring sustained breaks in rainfall unlikely under current guidance. Updated agency briefings and refined model ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33,803Дата завершення
Jun 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 20, 2026, 12:24 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent PAGASA outlooks and global model runs for Manila on June 22 highlight increasing southwest monsoon influence, with 60-80% rain chances and highs projected at 32-33°C, driving the tight market clustering around these levels. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods that could push peaks toward 34°C, while typical June climatology centers near 32°C with lows around 26°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns and convective timing creates the narrow spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring sustained breaks in rainfall unlikely under current guidance. Updated agency briefings and refined model ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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