Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 1?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$11,014 Обс.
$11,014 Обс.
May 1, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$11,014 Обс.
$11,014 Обс.
May 1, 2026
18°C or below
$119 Обс.
No
19°C
$235 Обс.
No
20°C
$115 Обс.
No
21°C
$120 Обс.
No
22°C
$353 Обс.
No
23°C
$353 Обс.
No
24°C
$405 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,772 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,148 Обс.
No
27°C
$2,634 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$2,759 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,014Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$11,014Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання