Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 12?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,614 Обс.
$78,614 Обс.
May 12, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,614 Обс.
$78,614 Обс.
May 12, 2026
16°C or below
$4,625 Обс.
No
17°C
$8,151 Обс.
No
18°C
$2,942 Обс.
No
19°C
$6,791 Обс.
No
20°C
$7,558 Обс.
No
21°C
$7,615 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,751 Обс.
No
23°C
$6,268 Обс.
No
24°C
$6,709 Обс.
No
25°C
$11,611 Обс.
Yes
26°C or higher
$11,594 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$78,614Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$78,614Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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