Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami will experience typical mid-summer conditions on July 22, with afternoon highs supported by subtropical moisture, light winds, and sea-breeze effects that moderate extremes. Historical July averages near 90–92°F align with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustering on 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited potential for significant deviation. Afternoon convection may cap peak readings, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could nudge values slightly lower. Updated model runs and the final official observation will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on July 22?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 22?
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 3.9%
НОВЕ
$12,197 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,197 Обс.
Jul 22, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 3.9%
НОВЕ
$12,197 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,197 Обс.
Jul 22, 2026
81°F or below
$378 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$164 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$201 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$565 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$605 Обс.
4%
90-91°F
$757 Обс.
32%
92-93°F
$8,570 Обс.
55%
94-95°F
$309 Обс.
9%
96-97°F
$148 Обс.
1%
98-99°F
$167 Обс.
1%
100°F or higher
$334 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami will experience typical mid-summer conditions on July 22, with afternoon highs supported by subtropical moisture, light winds, and sea-breeze effects that moderate extremes. Historical July averages near 90–92°F align with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustering on 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited potential for significant deviation. Afternoon convection may cap peak readings, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could nudge values slightly lower. Updated model runs and the final official observation will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,197Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami will experience typical mid-summer conditions on July 22, with afternoon highs supported by subtropical moisture, light winds, and sea-breeze effects that moderate extremes. Historical July averages near 90–92°F align with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustering on 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited potential for significant deviation. Afternoon convection may cap peak readings, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could nudge values slightly lower. Updated model runs and the final official observation will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,197Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami will experience typical mid-summer conditions on July 22, with afternoon highs supported by subtropical moisture, light winds, and sea-breeze effects that moderate extremes. Historical July averages near 90–92°F align with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustering on 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited potential for significant deviation. Afternoon convection may cap peak readings, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could nudge values slightly lower. Updated model runs and the final official observation will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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