**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$62,598 Обс.
$62,598 Обс.
May 3, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$62,598 Обс.
$62,598 Обс.
May 3, 2026
14°C or below
$2,255 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,648 Обс.
No
16°C
$3,363 Обс.
No
17°C
$4,060 Обс.
No
18°C
$4,451 Обс.
No
19°C
$4,058 Обс.
No
20°C
$6,161 Обс.
No
21°C
$7,651 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$12,548 Обс.
No
23°C
$8,527 Обс.
No
24°C or higher
$7,875 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$62,598Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$62,598Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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