Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on July 22?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 22?
25°C 40%
24°C 35%
26°C 13%
23°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 22, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
35%
25°C
40%
26°C
13%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 40%
24°C 35%
26°C 13%
23°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 22, 2026
18°C or below
$271 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$286 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$112 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$254 Обс.
1%
22°C
$249 Обс.
2%
23°C
$858 Обс.
12%
24°C
$3,501 Обс.
35%
25°C
$851 Обс.
40%
26°C
$1,374 Обс.
13%
27°C
$1,029 Обс.
5%
28°C or higher
$510 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,295Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,295Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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