Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 25?
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$167,835 Обс.
$167,835 Обс.
Apr 25, 2026
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$167,835 Обс.
$167,835 Обс.
Apr 25, 2026
39°F or below
$2,372 Обс.
No
40-41°F
$4,939 Обс.
No
42-43°F
$6,477 Обс.
No
44-45°F
$12,214 Обс.
No
46-47°F
$17,316 Обс.
No
48-49°F
$34,300 Обс.
No
50-51°F
$40,592 Обс.
Yes
52-53°F
$20,894 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$9,154 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$7,754 Обс.
No
58°F or higher
$11,824 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 23, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Обсяг
$167,835Дата завершення
Apr 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 23, 2026, 12:19 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$167,835Дата завершення
Apr 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 23, 2026, 12:19 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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