National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on July 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 12?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$120,219 Обс.
$120,219 Обс.
Jul 12, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$120,219 Обс.
$120,219 Обс.
Jul 12, 2026
73°F or below
$2,210 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$2,519 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$5,528 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$14,517 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$17,367 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$16,436 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$13,428 Обс.
Yes
86-87°F
$15,565 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$20,194 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$7,112 Обс.
No
92°F or higher
$5,343 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$120,219Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$120,219Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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