Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
33°C or higher 99.6%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,997 Обс.
$47,997 Обс.
May 1, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 99.6%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,997 Обс.
$47,997 Обс.
May 1, 2026
23°C or below
$554 Обс.
No
24°C
$71 Обс.
No
25°C
$700 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,210 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,874 Обс.
No
28°C
$3,017 Обс.
No
29°C
$4,378 Обс.
No
30°C
$5,361 Обс.
No
31°C
$2,764 Обс.
No
32°C
$8,075 Обс.
No
33°C or higher
$18,995 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$47,997Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$47,997Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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