Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 Обс.
$72,849 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 Обс.
$72,849 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
31°F or below
$5,250 Обс.
No
32-33°F
$4,723 Обс.
No
34-35°F
$4,290 Обс.
No
36-37°F
$4,782 Обс.
No
38-39°F
$3,695 Обс.
No
40-41°F
$4,903 Обс.
No
42-43°F
$5,321 Обс.
No
44-45°F
$7,783 Обс.
No
46-47°F
$4,328 Обс.
No
48-49°F
$7,854 Обс.
No
50°F or higher
$19,921 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Обсяг
$72,849Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$72,849Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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