Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on July 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 15?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$49,650 Обс.
$49,650 Обс.
Jul 15, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$49,650 Обс.
$49,650 Обс.
Jul 15, 2026
75°F or below
$2,122 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$668 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$4,083 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$17,399 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$5,844 Обс.
Yes
84-85°F
$7,799 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$4,180 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$2,284 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$2,409 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$2,000 Обс.
No
94°F or higher
$862 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$49,650Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$49,650Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання