Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts for Seoul on July 26 center on a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with morning showers and possible afternoon clearing, driving the market’s peak implied probability of 32% at that threshold. Typical late-July climatology features highs of 28–32°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity, which can suppress or enhance peaks depending on cloud cover and timing of rain. Model consensus shows modest spread around 29–32°C due to uncertainty in convective timing and steering flow, while historical analogs rarely exceed 33°C this late in the season without stronger subtropical ridging. Traders weigh these variables against the resolution criteria of official KMA observations, with fresh short-range updates expected to refine odds ahead of the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on July 26?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 26?
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$117,268 Обс.
$117,268 Обс.
Jul 26, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$117,268 Обс.
$117,268 Обс.
Jul 26, 2026
23°C or below
$392 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,703 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,048 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,397 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$3,845 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$6,283 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$9,879 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$31,693 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$16,853 Обс.
100%
32°C
$14,957 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$27,217 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts for Seoul on July 26 center on a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with morning showers and possible afternoon clearing, driving the market’s peak implied probability of 32% at that threshold. Typical late-July climatology features highs of 28–32°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity, which can suppress or enhance peaks depending on cloud cover and timing of rain. Model consensus shows modest spread around 29–32°C due to uncertainty in convective timing and steering flow, while historical analogs rarely exceed 33°C this late in the season without stronger subtropical ridging. Traders weigh these variables against the resolution criteria of official KMA observations, with fresh short-range updates expected to refine odds ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$117,268Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts for Seoul on July 26 center on a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with morning showers and possible afternoon clearing, driving the market’s peak implied probability of 32% at that threshold. Typical late-July climatology features highs of 28–32°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity, which can suppress or enhance peaks depending on cloud cover and timing of rain. Model consensus shows modest spread around 29–32°C due to uncertainty in convective timing and steering flow, while historical analogs rarely exceed 33°C this late in the season without stronger subtropical ridging. Traders weigh these variables against the resolution criteria of official KMA observations, with fresh short-range updates expected to refine odds ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$117,268Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts for Seoul on July 26 center on a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with morning showers and possible afternoon clearing, driving the market’s peak implied probability of 32% at that threshold. Typical late-July climatology features highs of 28–32°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity, which can suppress or enhance peaks depending on cloud cover and timing of rain. Model consensus shows modest spread around 29–32°C due to uncertainty in convective timing and steering flow, while historical analogs rarely exceed 33°C this late in the season without stronger subtropical ridging. Traders weigh these variables against the resolution criteria of official KMA observations, with fresh short-range updates expected to refine odds ahead of the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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