The market-implied odds reflect confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Shanghai on June 12, 2026, amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Recent model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this outcome, supported by overcast skies and light winds that prevented significant afternoon warming beyond historical June baselines around 27–30°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty captures this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary sources or discrepancies in station measurements exceeding standard uncertainty ranges, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 12?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,362 Обс.
$148,362 Обс.
Jun 12, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,362 Обс.
$148,362 Обс.
Jun 12, 2026
25°C or below
$1,454 Обс.
No
26°C
$549 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,167 Обс.
No
28°C
$8,622 Обс.
No
29°C
$9,478 Обс.
No
30°C
$30,481 Обс.
Yes
31°C
$27,332 Обс.
No
32°C
$20,605 Обс.
No
33°C
$20,513 Обс.
No
34°C
$20,185 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$7,975 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Shanghai on June 12, 2026, amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Recent model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this outcome, supported by overcast skies and light winds that prevented significant afternoon warming beyond historical June baselines around 27–30°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty captures this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary sources or discrepancies in station measurements exceeding standard uncertainty ranges, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$148,362Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Shanghai on June 12, 2026, amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Recent model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this outcome, supported by overcast skies and light winds that prevented significant afternoon warming beyond historical June baselines around 27–30°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty captures this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary sources or discrepancies in station measurements exceeding standard uncertainty ranges, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$148,362Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The market-implied odds reflect confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Shanghai on June 12, 2026, amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Recent model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this outcome, supported by overcast skies and light winds that prevented significant afternoon warming beyond historical June baselines around 27–30°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty captures this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary sources or discrepancies in station measurements exceeding standard uncertainty ranges, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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