Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on July 2, 2026, point to a daytime maximum near 32°C under the East Asian summer monsoon regime, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (75–85%) limiting radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity typical of the season’s peak have kept recent daily highs in the 31–33°C range through late June, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering flows introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the closely bunched 32–34°C outcomes. Model spread in timing and coverage of showers explains the market’s relatively flat distribution across these values, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside historical early-July norms of 30–34°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 2?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$89,113 Обс.
$89,113 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$89,113 Обс.
$89,113 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
27°C or below
$4,892 Обс.
No
28°C
$4,389 Обс.
No
29°C
$3,201 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,917 Обс.
No
31°C
$4,366 Обс.
No
32°C
$6,849 Обс.
No
33°C
$25,158 Обс.
Yes
34°C
$7,869 Обс.
No
35°C
$15,213 Обс.
No
36°C
$7,229 Обс.
No
37°C or higher
$6,031 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on July 2, 2026, point to a daytime maximum near 32°C under the East Asian summer monsoon regime, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (75–85%) limiting radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity typical of the season’s peak have kept recent daily highs in the 31–33°C range through late June, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering flows introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the closely bunched 32–34°C outcomes. Model spread in timing and coverage of showers explains the market’s relatively flat distribution across these values, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside historical early-July norms of 30–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$89,113Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on July 2, 2026, point to a daytime maximum near 32°C under the East Asian summer monsoon regime, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (75–85%) limiting radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity typical of the season’s peak have kept recent daily highs in the 31–33°C range through late June, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering flows introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the closely bunched 32–34°C outcomes. Model spread in timing and coverage of showers explains the market’s relatively flat distribution across these values, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside historical early-July norms of 30–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$89,113Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on July 2, 2026, point to a daytime maximum near 32°C under the East Asian summer monsoon regime, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (75–85%) limiting radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity typical of the season’s peak have kept recent daily highs in the 31–33°C range through late June, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering flows introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the closely bunched 32–34°C outcomes. Model spread in timing and coverage of showers explains the market’s relatively flat distribution across these values, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside historical early-July norms of 30–34°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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