Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on July 3?
Highest temperature in Singapore on July 3?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$70,944 Обс.
$70,944 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$70,944 Обс.
$70,944 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
24°C or below
$256 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,342 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,382 Обс.
No
27°C
$3,267 Обс.
No
28°C
$5,028 Обс.
No
29°C
$9,093 Обс.
No
30°C
$7,795 Обс.
No
31°C
$13,777 Обс.
Yes
32°C
$9,133 Обс.
No
33°C
$9,606 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$8,265 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$70,944Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$70,944Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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