Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,229 Обс.
$77,229 Обс.
May 10, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,229 Обс.
$77,229 Обс.
May 10, 2026
22°C or below
$3,886 Обс.
No
23°C
$5,539 Обс.
No
24°C
$5,624 Обс.
No
25°C
$14,512 Обс.
No
26°C
$10,815 Обс.
No
27°C
$11,794 Обс.
Yes
28°C
$6,766 Обс.
No
29°C
$5,930 Обс.
No
30°C
$5,508 Обс.
No
31°C
$3,232 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$3,621 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$77,229Дата завершення
May 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$77,229Дата завершення
May 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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